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100 _aOttaviani , Marco
245 0 _aNoise, Information, and the Favorite-Longshot Bias in Parimutuel Predictions
300 _app.39-57
520 _aAccording to the favorite-longshot bias, the expected return on an outcome tends to increase in the fraction of bets laid on that outcome. We derive testable implications for the direction and extent of the bias depending on the ratio of private information to noise present in the market. We link this ratio to observables such as the number of bettors, the number of outcomes, the amount of private information, the level of participation generated by recreational interest in the event, the divisibility of bets, the presence of ex post noise, as well as ex ante asymmetries across outcomes.
562 _e0
650 _aINFORMACION ECONOMICA
773 _0122685
_aAmerican Economic Journal Macroeconomics - Vol.2 No.1
942 _cSART
999 _c122687
_d122687